Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.4	2.95	3.1
	2.54	2.76	3.25
	2.55	2.65	3.25
	2.4	2.86	2.98
	2.25	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	3.11 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
38%

Draw
32.4%

Estepona
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Roque de Lepe - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

San Roque de Lepe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Estepona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estepona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.10.23	Manchego - San Roque de Lepe	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	San Roque de Lepe - Torre Del Mar	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.10.23	San Roque de Lepe - Águilas	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Yeclano Deportivo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.10.23	Estepona - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Linense - Estepona	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Estepona - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Estepona - Marbella	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Manchego - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL

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