Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.87	2.1
	3.75	3	2.05	Watch
	3.81	2.82	2.18
	3.78	2.97	2
	3.75	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.72)	2.93 ↓ (2.97)	2.08 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
24.7%

Draw
31.2%

Águilas
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Roque de Lepe's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Roque de Lepe - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Águilas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.09.23	Yeclano Deportivo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.09.23	San Roque de Lepe - Betis B	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	La Unión - San Roque de Lepe	4:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Roque de Lepe - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.10.23	Águilas - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Linense - Águilas	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Águilas - Cadiz CF B	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Estepona - Águilas	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Águilas - Manchego	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLW

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