Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Utrera		Ceuta B

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	8.33	3.62	1.46	Watch
	2.37	3	2.89
	2.42	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.22)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	2.49 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
26.5%

Draw
32.4%

Ceuta B
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrera's form might have worsened.

Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Lidueña Alonso D. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 2, ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 2.

Recent form of Utrera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ceuta B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Utrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Utrera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	Córdoba B - Utrera	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Utrera - Chiclana	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Conil - Utrera	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Utrera - Tomares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTW
- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Cadiz CF B - Ceuta B	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bollullos - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ceuta B - Atlético Onubense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.03.25	Utrera - Ceuta B	4:3
26.10.24	Ceuta B - Utrera	0:0
09.03.24	Ceuta B - Utrera	3:0
28.10.23	Utrera - Ceuta B	0:2
23.01.22	Ceuta B - Utrera	1:2
03.10.21	Utrera - Ceuta B	4:0

Utrera - Ceuta B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide