Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Ciudad de Lucena		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.35
	1.63	3.32	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	5.35 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
55.9%

Draw
27.3%

San Roque de Lepe
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

26.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, Cruz J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Dieguito ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 2.

Ciudad de Lucena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Roque de Lepe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Roque de Lepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ciudad de Lucena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Villarreal	0:6 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	5:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	San Roque de Lepe - Bollullos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sevilla C - San Roque de Lepe	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Onubense - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	San Roque de Lepe - Pozoblanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.03.25	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1
26.10.24	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	0:0
17.02.21	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	3:0
25.10.20	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
09.02.20	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
22.09.19	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	1:0
07.10.18	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	0:4

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