Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Águilas		Racing Cartagena MM

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.85	3.15	4.63
	1.84	3.15	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.4)	3.13 ↑ (3)	4.23 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
49.4%

Draw
29.1%

Racing Cartagena MM
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Racing Cartagena MM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Cartagena MM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Cartagena MM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Racing Cartagena MM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Águilas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águilas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Linense - Águilas	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Águilas - Cadiz CF B	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Estepona - Águilas	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Águilas - Manchego	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Águilas - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWW
- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Betis B - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Racing Cartagena MM - La Unión	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Antoniano - Racing Cartagena MM	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.23	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Cartagena MM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.02.22	Águilas - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0
10.10.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Águilas	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.05.21	Águilas - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0
18.04.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Águilas	1:0
27.10.19	Racing Cartagena MM - Águilas	2:0

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