Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	SanGiovanniValdarno		UniPomezia

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SanGiovanniValdarno
48%

Draw
27.8%

UniPomezia
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

18.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SanGiovanniValdarno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UniPomezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

UniPomezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

SanGiovanniValdarno will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.12.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	3:2 ✺
12.12.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Cannara - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:1 ✺
05.12.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Pianese - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTT
- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.12.21	UniPomezia - Follonica Gavorrano	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Rieti - UniPomezia	3:4 ✺
05.12.21	Cascina Valdera - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	UniPomezia - Trestina	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	UniPomezia - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWLW

SanGiovanniValdarno - UniPomezia