Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 26

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Abadan)


	Sanat Naft		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.94	2.91	2.08
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.74	3.14	2.03
	3.4	3.1	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanat Naft
25.3%

Draw
29.9%

Mes Rafsanjan
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.7%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mes Rafsanjan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mes Rafsanjan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Mehdizadeh M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 1.

Sanat Naft is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mes Rafsanjan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mes Rafsanjan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mes Rafsanjan is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanat Naft won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanat Naft
Iran Pro League
01.05.24	Havadar - Sanat Naft	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Sanat Naft - Persepolis	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sanat Naft	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Sanat Naft - Sepahan	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Malavan - Sanat Naft	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLWL
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
01.05.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
25.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
19.04.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
24.11.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	0:2
05.03.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	4:0
02.10.22	Sanat Naft - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
19.05.22	Sanat Naft - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2
03.01.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	3:0
20.07.21	Sanat Naft - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
30.01.21	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	0:0

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