Match Info

IRAN: PERSIAN GULF PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 25 December 2023, Monday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Abadan)


	Sanat Naft		Zob Ahan

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.8	2.05
	4	2.85	2.1
	4.55	2.8	2.11
	4.55	2.7	2.05
	4.2	2.75	1.91
	4.45	2.64	2.01	Watch
	3.95	2.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (2.75)	2.76 ↑ (2.63)	2.05 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanat Naft
21.8%

Draw
33.3%

Zob Ahan
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

34.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

35.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanat Naft's form might have worsened.

Zob Ahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zob Ahan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanat Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zob Ahan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.7%	81.2%

Sanat Naft - Zob Ahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zob Ahan will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zob Ahan: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 1.

Sanat Naft is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zob Ahan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zob Ahan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zob Ahan is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanat Naft won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanat Naft
Iran Pro League
19.12.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
13.12.23	Sanat Naft - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
08.12.23	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	1:2 ✺
24.11.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Sanat Naft - Havadar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLLWL
- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
19.12.23	Zob Ahan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Paykan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	1:2 ✺
02.11.23	Aluminium Arak - Zob Ahan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
12.05.23	Sanat Naft - Zob Ahan	1:1
30.12.22	Zob Ahan - Sanat Naft	2:2
23.01.22	Zob Ahan - Sanat Naft	0:1
20.10.21	Sanat Naft - Zob Ahan	0:1
03.04.21	Zob Ahan - Sanat Naft	1:0
01.12.20	Sanat Naft - Zob Ahan	1:0
07.02.20	Zob Ahan - Sanat Naft	1:0

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