Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Sancataldese		Catania

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	5.67	3.29	1.58
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	5.8	3.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↓ (8.26)	3.51 ↓ (4.47)	1.54 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sancataldese
15.4%

Draw
25.8%

Catania
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

20.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

19.4%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sancataldese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Sancataldese - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sancataldese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Catania will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Winners stage).

Sancataldese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Catania is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sancataldese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Catania have a series of home games.

In this match Catania is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Sancataldese - Licata	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	San Luca - Sancataldese	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Sancataldese - Ragusa	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Trapani - Sancataldese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TTTWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Catania - Acireale	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Catania - Canicattì	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Cittanovese - Catania	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Catania - Città di SantAgata	3:2 ✺
19.10.22	Catania - Locri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

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