Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.35	4.45
	1.64	3.61	4.57
	1.66	3.66	4.62	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.5
	1.66	3.75	4.94
	2.11	3.17	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.14)	4.37 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
52.7%

Draw
26.3%

Sancataldese
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vibonese's performance.

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sancataldese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vibonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sancataldese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Vibonese - Sancataldese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vibonese will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vibonese won 2.

In recent matches, Vibonese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sancataldese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vibonese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vibonese won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vibonese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
29.03.26	Vigor Lamezia - Vibonese	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Vibonese - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ragusa - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vibonese - Savoia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vibonese - Gelbison Cilento	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTLL
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
29.03.26	Sancataldese - Nissa	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Castrumfavara - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sancataldese - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Reggina - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sancataldese - Enna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1
13.10.24	Vibonese - Sancataldese	2:0
10.03.24	Vibonese - Sancataldese	0:0
01.11.23	Sancataldese - Vibonese	2:3
06.04.23	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1
27.11.22	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1
17.12.17	Vibonese - Sancataldese	2:1

Vibonese - Sancataldese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide