Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Sancataldese		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.18
	3.24	3.3	2
	3.31	3.16	2.11	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.15
	3.33	3.08	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.89)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	2.11 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sancataldese
27.9%

Draw
29.3%

Gelbison Cilento
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.1%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Sancataldese - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Cascio F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 7).

Sancataldese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gelbison Cilento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sancataldese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Sancataldese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.04.26	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Sancataldese - Nissa	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Castrumfavara - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sancataldese - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Reggina - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.04.26	Gelbison Cilento - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Savoia - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Gelbison Cilento - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3
08.05.22	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	4:0
19.12.21	Sancataldese - Gelbison Cilento	2:1
05.11.17	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:1

Sancataldese - Gelbison Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide