Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 2

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Sandefjord		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3	Watch
	2.05	3.8	3.1
	2.12	3.7	3.15	Watch
	2.16	4	3.18
	2.08	4.1	3.05	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3
	2.09	4.07	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.91 ↓ (4.13)	3.08 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
45.2%

Draw
24.1%

Sarpsborg 08
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

22.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

22.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sandefjord will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 6. Mork S. (C) 44. Lambrix X. 3. Egeli V. 7. Patoulidis E. 14. Pettersen E. 37. Vester J. 27. Dunsby J. 11. Moller N.	1. Ndiaye M. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 24. Rosted S. 4. Utvik B. 21. Hiim A. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 33. Nibe A. 6. Sher A. 17. Williams N. 11. Karlsbakk D. 10. Sorli S. (C)
Substitutes
17. Apetorgbor F. 19. Berntsen B. 8. Dzabic R. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 9. Hanstad J. 47. Kristiansen S. 16. Krogelien H. 26. Loftesnes-Bjune F. 24. Mathisen S.	14. Berget J. 26. Chriso 18. Gueye B. 2. Koch M. 5. Odegaard M. 15. Opoku M. 87. Oy L. (G) 23. Sandberg N. 32. Wichne E.
Coaches
Tegstrom A.	Sel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Sorli S. ⚽, Halvorsen V. E. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Karlsbakk D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Patoulidis E. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
68', Williams N. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
69', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
78', Vester J. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
78', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
78', Pedersen F. ↓, Loftesnes-Bjune F. ↑,
79', Hanstad J. 🟨,
79', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
87', Niyukuri C. ↓, Koch M. ↑,
87', Sher A. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
88', Dunsby J. ↓, Apetorgbor F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 2.

Sandefjord is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sarpsborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sandefjord has had a series of home games.

Sandefjord will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Sandefjord: Pettersen E. (Injury) Swift J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:44. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sarpsborg 08	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.03.26	Sandefjord - Start	3:2 ✺
02.03.26	Sandefjord - Ranheim	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sandefjord - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Sandefjord - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Hamarkameratene	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1
26.07.25	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.08.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1
12.05.24	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	4:1
Club Friendly
27.01.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.08.23	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	5:1

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