Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
International	15:00	Onefootball


	Sandefjord		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.75	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.67	3.43
	2.08	3.63	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.12	3.63	3.35	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)	3.62 ↓ (3.87)	3.26 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
44.8%

Draw
26.2%

Strømsgodset
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

24.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Sandefjord - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sandefjord will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandefjord: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sandefjord (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 47. Kristiansen S. 17. Cheng C. 6. Mork S. 18. Ottosson F. (C) 20. Melchior M. 7. Patoulidis E. 11. Tibell D. 27. Dunsby J.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 27. Dahl F. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 17. Tomasson L. 10. Stengel H. 8. Krasniqi K. 22. Therkelsen J. 77. Mehnert M. 7. Moller N. 21. Farji M.
Substitutes
19. Berntsen B. 8. Dzabic R. 3. Egeli V. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 43. Jemal E. 26. Loftesnes-Bjune F. 10. Mettler L. 21. Swift J. 5. van der Spa A.	15. Heredia-Randen A. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 84. Skistad A. 5. Sormo B. 39. Spiten-Nysaeter M. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 4. Westerlund S.
Coaches
Tegstrom A.	Isnes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Patoulidis E. ⚽, Melchior M. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Tibell D. ⚽, Cheng C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mehnert M. ↓, Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Dunsby J. ⚽, Tibell D. (A),
52', 3 - 1, Stengel H. ⚽, Farji M. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Therkelsen J. ⚽, Valsvik G. (A),
63', Tibell D. 🟨,
68', Mork S. 🟨,
76', Tibell D. ↓, Jemal E. ↑,
81', Krasniqi K. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
89', Melchior M. ↓, Mettler L. ↑,
90+4', Patoulidis E. ↓, van der Spa A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 2.

Recent performances by Sandefjord have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Strømsgodset's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strømsgodset may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sandefjord might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sandefjord: Mathisen S. (Inactive) Pettersen S. (Inactive) Sigurdarson S. I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Ekeland J. (Injury) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.25	Viking Stavanger - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.05.25	Tromsø - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sandefjord - Hamarkameratene	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.25	Strømsgodset - Bryne	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Strømsgodset - Kristiansund	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Mjøndalen - Strømsgodset	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.25	Strømsgodset - Brann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
09.08.24	Sandefjord - Strømsgodset	2:2
08.07.24	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	1:1
Club Friendly
19.03.24	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	0:3
16.03.24	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	Canceled
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.09.23	Sandefjord - Strømsgodset	2:0
16.05.23	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	1:0
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:2

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