Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 27

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Aalesunds		Sandefjord

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.8	3.1
	2.1	4	3.25	Watch
	2.11	4.05	3.24
	2.1	4.08	3.27
	1.95	3.7	2.9
	2.08	3.9	3.16	Watch
	2.07	3.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.92 ↑ (3.46)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
45.8%

Draw
24.2%

Sandefjord
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	4.8%	19%

Aalesunds - Sandefjord Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 23. Froysa E. 5. Fallman D. (C) 4. Hopland N. 25. Kitolano J. 6. Segberg E. 8. Hammer H. 37. Melland H. 29. Kristensen B. 27. Diop M. 22. Karlsbakk M.	1. Keto H. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 19. Berglie F. 17. Foss S. (C) 3. Egeli V. 8. Nilsson A. 18. Ottosson F. 10. Kjaer J. 27. Dunsby J. 9. Tveter A. 14. Al Saed D.
Substitutes
19. Atanga I. 11. Ebiye M. 33. Haram S. 39. Kilen S. 40. Kolve E. 13. Lansing M. (G) 2. Murray T. 15. Odemarksbakken K. 18. Ramsland M.	23. Ayer Boya K. 11. Chaib Y. 26. Loftesnes-Bjune F. 6. Mork S. 20. Nyenetue F. 2. Palerud F. 12. Viken M. (G)
Coaches
Johnsen C.	Tegstrom A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 1.

Recent matches Aalesunds is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sandefjord has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sandefjord: Amin S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A. (Injury) Moe J. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.10.23	Haugesund - Aalesunds	6:1 ✺
22.10.23	Aalesunds - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	Tromsø - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Vålerenga - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWWTL
- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.10.23	Sandefjord - Brann	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Sandefjord	4:3 ✺
08.10.23	Sandefjord - Hamarkameratene	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Sandefjord - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Viking Stavanger - Sandefjord	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
30.04.23	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	4:0
Club Friendly
13.02.23	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.22	Aalesunds - Sandefjord	1:0
12.07.22	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	2:2
02.12.20	Aalesunds - Sandefjord	0:1
15.07.20	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.11.19	Aalesunds - Sandefjord	3:1

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