Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 25

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Sandefjord 2		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	2.10	4.10	2.50
	1.93	3.95	2.75
	2.03	4.72	2.59
	2.19	4.27	2.48	Watch
	2.01	4.65	2.40
	2.12	4.65	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)	4.39 ↑ (4.27)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord 2
43.8%

Draw
20.6%

Sarpsborg 2
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

21.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

21.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Sandefjord 2 - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Ljung M. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Gabrielsen L. B. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Holtung V. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Holtung V. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Holtung V. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10th and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sarpsborg 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sandefjord 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sandefjord 2	25	11	3	11	57:55	2	36
11	Sarpsborg 08 2	25	9	5	11	60:57	3	32

Last Results with these Odds

Sarpsborg 2 - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.86%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
17.10.26	Lillehammer - Sandefjord 2	5:0 ✺
12.10.26	Sandefjord 2 - Råde	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Sandefjord 2 - Elverum	4:3 ✺
21.09.26	Brumunddal - Sandefjord 2	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sandefjord 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWT
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.10.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Rælingen	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Drøbak-Frogn - Sarpsborg 2	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Lyn 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Lillehammer	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.04.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Sandefjord 2	2:3

Sandefjord 2 - Sarpsborg 2