The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sandhausen 30.3%
Draw 28.1%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
27.2%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
26.9%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
24.2%
57.6%
Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Fortuna will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 40.7% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 15 (8.11%), has project points - 42, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Fortuna has the most likely position - 1 (11.14%), has project points - 54, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has quality31, importance37, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 1.
Sandhausen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Fortuna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.