Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Hardtwaldstadion (Sandhausen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Sandhausen		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.55
	2.85	3.3	2.45
	2.7	3.3	2.55
	2.78	3.49	2.62
	2.62	3.3	2.5
	2.73	3.48	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.49)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	2.53 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandhausen
34.8%

Draw
27.8%

Nürnberg
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	38.5%	19.2%

Sandhausen - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandhausen: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 16 (8.86%), has project points - 42, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nürnberg has the most likely position - 12 (7.29%), has project points - 45, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 29, small importance 21, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
13.08.22	Karlsruher - Sandhausen	3:2 ✺
05.08.22	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Sandhausen	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
22.07.22	Darmstadt - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Sandhausen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
12.08.22	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
06.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.07.22	Kaan-Marienborn - Nürnberg	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
23.07.22	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.04.22	Nürnberg - Sandhausen	2:4
19.11.21	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	1:2
31.01.21	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	2:0
27.09.20	Nürnberg - Sandhausen	1:0
02.02.20	Nürnberg - Sandhausen	2:0
16.08.19	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	3:2
06.05.18	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	0:2

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