Match Info

Superettan - Round 26

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Jernvallen (Sandviken)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Sandviken		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.7	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.77
	4.25	3.9	1.72	Watch
	4.59	3.95	1.74
	4.21	3.94	1.73	Watch
	4.47	3.92	1.69	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.1)	3.85 (3.85)	1.73 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandviken
22.2%

Draw
24.2%

Örgryte
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

23.3%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandviken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandviken's form might have worsened.

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örgryte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandviken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örgryte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	8.8%	87.7%

Sandviken - Örgryte Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Örgryte (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Örgryte (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 29 - 87.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lindell O. (G) 26. Tagesson L. 4. Van der Laan V. 23. Engqvist E. 12. Redenstrand C. 15. Olsson F. 8. Soderberg D. 5. Lofstrom O. 14. Backman V. 11. Bohm K. 27. Lundgren M.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 25. Renecke W. 14. Paulson D. (C) 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 15. Dahlqvist I. 17. Hofvander W. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
20. Carlsson P. 37. Krasniqi D. 42. Mahammed M. 10. Simba M. 1. Sveijer H. (G) 2. Thorn G. 6. Vabo L.	3. Azulay J. 10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.
Coaches
Abdulic E.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Backman V. ↓, Simba M. ↑,
60', Bohm K. ↓, Mahammed M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Olsson F. ⚽, Simba M. (A),
66', Parker-Price O. 🟨,
66', Andreasson A. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
66', Paulson D. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
76', Olsson F. ↓, Krasniqi D. ↑,
76', Redenstrand C. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
79', Styffe C. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Hofvander W. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
86', Krasniqi D. 🟨,
87', Lundgren M. ↓, Thorn G. ↑,
89', Dyrestam M. ↓, Azulay J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandviken won 2.

Recent performances by Sandviken have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Örgryte is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Örgryte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Örgryte is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sandviken won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandviken won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Örgryte - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.5%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
28.09.25	Västerås SK - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Sandviken - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kalmar - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Trelleborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sandviken - Örebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Trelleborg - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Helsingborg - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Utsikten - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.05.25	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:0
18.10.24	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:2
26.05.24	Sandviken - Örgryte	3:1
13.11.22	Örgryte - Sandviken	2:3
10.11.22	Sandviken - Örgryte	0:2
Svenska Cupen
16.03.14	Örgryte - Sandviken	2:1

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