Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira) 🌤️ ...


	Sanjoanense		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.35	2.92
	2.23	3.67	3.03
	2.17	3.68	2.96	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.18	3.63	2.98
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	3.51 ↑ (3.36)	2.95 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
42.6%

Draw
26.2%

São João de Ver
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sanjoanense - São João de Ver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 20. Andrezinho 25. Couto J. 27. Kelechi 24. Maio F. 2. Martins J. 13. Pinheiro Edu (C) 8. Podstawski T. 7. Rocha T. 6. Serra A. 30. Talles Wander	65. Didi (G) 20. Campas T. 10. Castro J. 37. Firmino H. 5. Jota 9. Marques P. 23. Monteiro J. (C) 4. Morais B. 88. Nuno Pereira 21. Rui Bruno 29. Valente R.
Substitutes
19. Cezar F. 36. Duarte A. (G) 16. Gomes V. 10. Kiko Felix 3. Nando 33. Sa G. 5. Santos R. 11. Shodipo O. 12. Vitinha	99. Benjamim R. (G) 7. Erick Gabriel 73. Gomes V. 16. Jesse 8. Juninho 11. Rai Nascimento 3. Serrao J. 55. Vilela M. 61. Vilela R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Firmino H. ⚽,
18', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Couto J. ⚽,
45+6', Talles Wander 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Campas T. ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
65', Martins J. 🟨,
68', Podstawski T. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
68', Rocha T. ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
71', Erick Gabriel 🟨,
81', Firmino H. ↓, Juninho ↑,
81', Nuno Pereira ↓, Vilela M. ↑,
82', Marques P. ↓, Jesse ↑,
84', Andrezinho ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
84', Couto J. ↓, Vitinha ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 1.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

Sanjoanense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Varzim - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - Trofense	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
25.01.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	0:4 ✺
04.01.26	São João de Ver - Amarante	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.12.25	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	2:1
13.09.25	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	2:2
05.04.25	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	5:2
01.03.25	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	2:2
14.12.24	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	2:2
31.08.24	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	1:2
22.01.23	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	2:1

Sanjoanense - São João de Ver