Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.45	5.5
	1.43	4.74	5.72	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.72	4.98
	1.38	4.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	4.6 ↑ (4.43)	5.61 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
63.7%

Draw
19.9%

Castellon B
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

15.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The chances for Castellon B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Andreu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sant Andreu - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Albertito ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Blanco C. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Sant Andreu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellon B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Castellon B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sant Andreu is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.12.25	Atlètic Lleida - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sant Andreu - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.25	Girona B - Sant Andreu	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sant Andreu - Olot	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLT
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Olot - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Castellon B - Torrent	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Porreres - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

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