Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Porreres		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.5	2.35
	2.62	3.55	2.45
	2.38	3.70	2.52	Watch
	2.51	4.07	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)	3.71 ↑ (3.58)	2.42 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porreres
36.9%

Draw
24.9%

Castellon B
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Porreres - Castellon B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Porreres (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porreres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Izquierdo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Segura C. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Llamas C. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Morales J. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Mascaro P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Castellon B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Olot - Porreres	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Porreres - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Valencia B - Porreres	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Porreres - Barbastro	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Girona B - Porreres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTLL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.11.25	Castellon B - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
25.10.25	Castellon B - Terrassa	3:3 ✺
19.10.25	Poblense - Castellon B	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Castellon B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTLW

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