Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Peralada

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.94	3	3.35
	1.97	3.09	3.57
	2.04	3.22	3.64
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	3.49 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
45.2%

Draw
29%

Peralada
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sant Andreu's form might have worsened.

Peralada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peralada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sant Andreu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peralada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sant Andreu - Peralada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 4.

Recent matches Sant Andreu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peralada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Peralada have a series of home games.

Sant Andreu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sant Andreu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.04.23	Peralada - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Grama - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	2:3 ✺
09.04.23	Girona B - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Sant Andreu - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTT
- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.04.23	Peralada - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Peralada - UE Sants	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Rapitenca - Peralada	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Peralada - Castelldefels	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Peralada - Pobla de Mafumet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.04.23	Peralada - Sant Andreu	0:1
22.01.23	Sant Andreu - Peralada	1:1
25.09.22	Peralada - Sant Andreu	1:3
06.03.22	Peralada - Sant Andreu	0:1
31.10.21	Sant Andreu - Peralada	2:0
14.02.21	Sant Andreu - Peralada	0:0
10.11.19	Sant Andreu - Peralada	1:2

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