Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Can Drago (Barcelona)

Referee: Clemente Ortuno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sant Andreu		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.2	3.15	2.1
	3.13	3.35	2.19
	3.24	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	2.98	3.18	2.19
	3.15	3.15	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
29.2%

Draw
28.1%

Real Madrid Castilla
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

27.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sant Andreu - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Mendez J. 20. Gomez J. 4. Blanco C. 21. Jimenez N. 10. Garcia A. G. 8. Albertito (C) 7. Darbra P. 3. Hernandez A. 9. Tovar J. 16. Agudin P.	1. Mestre S. (G) 2. Fortea J. 21. Naasei O. 4. Rivas M. 3. Aguado D. 24. Pitarch T. 16. Martinez S. 7. Yanez D. 10. Fortuny P. (C) 11. Leiva A. 9. Fettal R.
Substitutes
18. Armero S. 11. Bermejo A. 6. Carrasco O. 14. Delgado M. 2. Garreta F. 19. Garrido C. 27. Hosoyamada R. 1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 5. Lucas Vina 23. Montoro A. 22. Serrano S. 12. Torices D.	12. Arroyo Sanchez D. (G) 19. Carvajal A. 6. Cestero Sancho J. 23. Fati L. 5. Martinez J. 20. Martin R. 22. Mesonero D. 13. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 34. Rajado J. 32. Sotres A.
Coaches
Gonzalez N.	Lopez de Lerma J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Naasei O. 🟨,
11', Albertito 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Yanez D. ⚽, Pitarch T. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Darbra P. ⚽,
43', Darbra P. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Alvarez I. 🟨,
63', Albertito ↓, Torices D. ↑,
63', Agudin P. ↓, Serrano S. ↑,
63', Pitarch T. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
71', Yanez D. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
71', Fettal R. ↓, Carvajal A. ↑,
72', Jimenez N. 🟨,
79', Tovar J. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
79', Garcia A. G. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
82', Mesonero D. 🟨,
84', Fortuny P. ↓, Rajado J. ↑,
90+2', Leiva A. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

Real Madrid Castilla is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Real Madrid B	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
13	Sant Andreu	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.09.26	Ibiza - Sant Andreu	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sant Andreu - Águilas	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Huesca - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Olot - Sant Andreu	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Espanyol B - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.09.26	Águilas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Teruel - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTW

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