Match Info
Club FriendlyDate: 19 August 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Real Madrid TV |
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Ponferradina |
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Real Madrid Castilla |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.20 |
3.10 |
2.80 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.16 |
3.2 |
3.11 |
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 |
2.3 |
3.18 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.15 |
3 |
3 |
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2.27 |
3.3 |
2.97 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.24) |
3.15 ↓
(3.35) |
2.96 ↓
(3.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ponferradina
40.7% | Draw
28.7% | Real Madrid Castilla
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 25', 1 - 0, Molina A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', 1 - 1, Diez Pagonessa C. J. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Martin R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 78', 2 - 2, Faye S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3.Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Ponferradina - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 | | | 01.03.26 | Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina | 0:1 | | 05.10.25 | Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla | 2:3 | | Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 | | | 24.03.19 | Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina | 0:0 | | 03.11.18 | Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla | 3:2 | | 21.01.18 | Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla | 3:2 | | 03.09.17 | Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina | 1:1 | | Spanish LaLiga2 | | | 29.03.14 | Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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