Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 1

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)


	Teruel		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.00	2.95	2.20
	3.2	2.95	2.22
	3.27	3.1	2.23
	3.34	3.07	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.14
	3.27	2.93	2.21
	3.15	2.9	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.67)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
28.3%

Draw
30.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Teruel's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Teruel - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Zarco A. (G) 16. Albisua H. 3. de Diego J. 4. Felipe P. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 22. Llacer L. 15. Lopez A. 7. Moreno S. 14. Relu 8. Romera M. 21. Sese M.	1. Mestre S. (G) 3. Aguado D. 6. Cestero Sancho J. 26. Ciria A. 9. Fettal R. 2. Fortea J. 10. Fortuny P. (C) 11. Leiva A. 21. Naasei O. 29. Rezola M. 4. Rivas M.
Substitutes
18. Belevonis C. 5. Goyo Medina 28. Igual C. 9. Moraitis P. 6. Nicholas N. 1. Palop A. (G)	19. Carvajal A. 23. Fati L. 28. Lacosta D. 27. Lezcano A. 25. Lorente F. Q. (G) 5. Martinez J. 20. Martin R. 22. Mesonero D. 13. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 7. Yanez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Fettal R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Moreno S. 🟨,
60', Aguado D. ↓, Lezcano A. ↑,
60', Ciria A. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
60', Romera M. ↓, Moraitis P. ↑,
67', Moraitis P. 🟨,
71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
71', Sese M. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
72', Rezola M. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
73', Goyo Medina 🟨,
77', Fettal R. ↓, Carvajal A. ↑,
77', Fortuny P. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
81', Lopez A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Real Madrid B	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Teruel - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Teruel - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Teruel - Levante B	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Teruel	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.05.26	Marbella - Teruel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.06.26	Sabadell - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
29.05.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	CD Guadalajara - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWT

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