Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 25

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	SantAngelo		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.78	3.39	2.19
	3.2	3.4	1.91
	2.85	3.34	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (4.19)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	2.12 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SantAngelo
30.9%

Draw
26.6%

Giana Erminio
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.6%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SantAngelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SantAngelo's performance.

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giana Erminio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SantAngelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SantAngelo - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Sant'Angelo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giana Erminio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sant'Angelo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	Prato - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	SantAngelo - AC Carpi	3:3 ✺
15.01.23	Forlì - SantAngelo	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	SantAngelo - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTLW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Giana Erminio - Salsomaggiore	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Mezzolara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Giana Erminio - United Riccione	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Giana Erminio - Varese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
02.10.22	Giana Erminio - SantAngelo	6:1

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