Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 24

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.75	2.97	2.22
	2.88	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.22	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	2.25 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
31.7%

Draw
28.6%

Giana Erminio
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

31.8%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Giana Erminio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+4%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0.

Pistoiese in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giana Erminio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
25.01.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Crema - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Pistoiese - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	United Riccione - Pistoiese	1:4 ✺
21.12.22	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
25.01.23	Giana Erminio - Salsomaggiore	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Mezzolara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Giana Erminio - United Riccione	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Giana Erminio - Varese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.01.23	Correggese - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
28.09.22	Giana Erminio - Pistoiese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
02.05.21	Giana Erminio - Pistoiese	2:0
16.01.21	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1
20.10.19	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1
25.02.18	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1
08.10.17	Giana Erminio - Pistoiese	3:0
05.02.17	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	0:2

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