The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SantAngelo 49.6%
Draw 27.7%
Tropical Coriano 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
28.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
25.7%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SantAngelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SantAngelo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+5%)
SantAngelo - Tropical Coriano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 14th).
SantAngelo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tropical Coriano is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
SantAngelo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, SantAngelo has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, SantAngelo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, SantAngelo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SantAngelo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.