Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Tropical Coriano		Crema

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.31	2.25	Watch
	2.89	3.22	2.25
	2.85	3.33	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropical Coriano
31.7%

Draw
27.7%

Crema
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropical Coriano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tropical Coriano - Crema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Tropical Coriano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crema is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tropical Coriano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Tropical Coriano	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Tropical Coriano
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.26	SantAngelo - Tropical Coriano	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Trevigliese	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Lentigione - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tropical Coriano - Progresso	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Correggese - Tropical Coriano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL
- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.26	Trevigliese - Crema	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Crema - Pro Sesto	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Progresso - Crema	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Crema - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tuttocuoio - Crema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
12.10.25	Crema - Tropical Coriano	1:2

Tropical Coriano - Crema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide