The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Úrsula 35.6%
Draw 30.9%
Atlético Paso 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
27.4%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Úrsula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético Paso is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Santa Úrsula could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Úrsula won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Úrsula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.