The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Ana 44.9%
Draw 26.9%
Cariari Pococí 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
27.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
27.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Santa Ana - Cariari Pococí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Ana won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Cariari may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santa Ana has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Cariari has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Santa Ana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Santa Ana has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Ana against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:11 goals (averaging 1.5:1.1 per game).
Watch
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