Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck (Rio do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Santa Catarina		Concórdia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.74	3.35	4.2
	1.69	3.92	4.66
	1.68	3.72	4.46	Watch
	1.69	3.6	4.71
	1.76	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.1)	4.43 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Catarina
53.6%

Draw
25.6%

Concórdia
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Catarina's performance.

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Santa Catarina - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcos (C) 29. Adriel 20. Alex Goncalves 8. Cleberson 6. Coruja 7. De Paula 25. Guilherme Lobo 2. Juninho 10. Mendes G. 13. Renan 4. Ze Leandro	1. Alexandre Villa (G) 7. Andrade 9. Carlinhos 11. Felipe Rangel 3. Felipe Siedekum 5. Foguinho (C) 2. Gabriel Biteco 10. Kenzo 6. Matheus Baseggio 4. Pedro Cella 8. Pedro M.
Substitutes
21. Beto 5. Brendon 18. Brener 22. Bruninho 1. Gledson (G) 27. Guilherme 11. Gui Nascimento 9. Habibi 17. Joao Biasi 24. Paulinho 3. Pedrao 26. Sanderson	13. Caio Mores 17. Cristian 16. Eli Junior 15. Indio 18. Kerlly 19. Lipe Lenger 14. Patryck Annes 12. Tibolla (G) 20. Wilgner 21. William

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Guilherme Lobo 🟨,
35', Mendes G. 🟨,
36', Gabriel Biteco 🟨,
45', Felipe Rangel 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Juninho ↓, Sanderson ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Alex Goncalves ⚽,
60', Matheus Baseggio 🟨,
61', Foguinho ↓, Indio ↑,
69', 2 - 0, De Paula ⚽,
70', Felipe Rangel ↓, Eli Junior ↑,
70', Carlinhos ↓, Kerlly ↑,
77', 3 - 0, De Paula ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Santa Catarina is Qualified for Catarinense (Play Offs )

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Santa Catarina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.25	Joinville - Santa Catarina	4:3 ✺
12.02.25	Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Chapecoense - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Criciúma - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Catarina - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTTT
- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.25	Concórdia - Brusque	1:4 ✺
12.02.25	Avaí - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	Concórdia - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWT

Santa Catarina - Concórdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide