Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Criciúma		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.5	8.25
	1.26	5	9
	1.22	5.64	14.31
	1.25	5.38	10.07	Watch
	1.3	5.36	8.16
	1.26	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.64)	5.31 ↑ (3.55)	9.8 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
73.3%

Draw
17.3%

Santa Catarina
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Criciúma - Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique (G) 8. Everton Morelli 7. Fellipe Mateus 13. Jonathan 23. Juninho 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 5. Matheus Trindade 9. Neto Pessoa 3. Rodrigo (C) 11. Talisson	12. Marcos (C) 29. Adriel 5. Brendon 6. Coruja 7. De Paula 9. Fabiano P. 25. Guilherme Lobo 2. Juninho 10. Mendes G. 13. Renan 4. Ze Leandro
Substitutes
17. Eduardo Melo 15. Eliedson 20. Gabriel Novaes 10. Jhonata Robert 12. Kaua Moroso (G) 2. Leo Alaba 18. Leo Goncalves 6. Luiz Henrique 21. Petterson 14. Ruan Carvalho 16. Streit M. 19. Werik Popo	21. Beto 18. Brener 22. Bruninho 1. Gledson (G) 14. Golden 27. Guilherme 11. Gui Nascimento 19. Kaue Oliveira 24. Paulinho 3. Pedrao 26. Sanderson 15. Welton Heleno

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mendes G. ↓, Brener ↑,
57', Jonathan ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
57', Talisson ↓, Gabriel Novaes ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
66', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Beto ↑,
66', Brendon ↓, Welton Heleno ↑,
71', Fabiano P. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
71', Neto Pessoa ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
76', Coruja ↓, Guilherme ↑,
84', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
84', Juninho ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
88', Guilherme 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Brener ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Santa Catarina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Criciúma to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.02.25	Chapecoense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Criciúma - Joinville	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Criciúma - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Figueirense - Criciúma	2:3 ✺
19.01.25	Criciúma - Concórdia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWW
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.25	Santa Catarina - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
30.01.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Hercílio Luz - Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
23.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Catarina - Caravaggio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWTW

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