Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Arena Joinville (Joinville)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Joinville |
|
Santa Catarina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.16 |
3 |
3.45 |
|
 |
2.20 |
2.92 |
3.44 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.83 |
3.51 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.16) |
2.89 ↑
(2.85) |
3.41 ↓
(3.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joinville
41.9% | Draw
31.5% | Santa Catarina
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Joinville - Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Erverson ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Erverson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 2 - 1, Ze Leandro ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).Including home match between the teams, Joinville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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