Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Santa Cruz PFA		Marineros

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.3	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.31	3.22	2.77
	2.31	3.22	2.77
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.29	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.98)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz PFA
39%

Draw
28%

Marineros
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz PFA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz PFA's performance.

Marineros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marineros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz PFA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marineros than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marineros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Antioquia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marineros is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marineros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marineros have a series of home games.

Marineros will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Antioquia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Antioquia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.24	Sarchi - Santa Cruz PFA	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Jicaral	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Jacó	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Cofutpa - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0 ✺
07.02.24	Carmelita - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLT
- Marineros de Puntarenas
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.24	Marineros - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Marineros - Quepos	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Marineros - Cofutpa	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Sarchi - Marineros	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Marineros - Jicaral	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
29.01.24	Marineros - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0
01.10.23	Marineros - Santa Cruz PFA	5:1
12.08.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Marineros	1:0

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