Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 6

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday


	Santa Cruz-RS		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.25	1.22	Watch
	10	5	1.27
	10	5	1.28
	7.1	4.45	1.27
	9.71	4.93	1.27
	11	5	1.2
	10.2	5.15	1.27	Watch
	9.8	5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.66 ↑ (6.83)	4.97 ↑ (4.33)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz-RS
9.4%

Draw
18.2%

Internacional RS
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

20.9%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

20.8%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Cruz RS - Internacional RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo Pitol (G) 5. Amaral 6. David Luis 9. Hugo Almeida 3. Jefferson 2. Kevlin 8. Marcio Jonatan 10. Mineiro R. 7. Netto 11. Pablo Bueno 4. Thiago Sales	24. Anthoni (G) 10. Alan Patrick 20. Aranguiz C. 8. Bruno Henrique 16. Bustos F. 45. Lucca 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 4. Robert Renan 13. Velencia E. 11. Wanderson
Substitutes
12. Alexandre Villa (G) 15. Daniel Pereira 19. Eduardo Junior 14. Jean Lucca 20. Leo Aquino 18. Leylon 17. Paul 16. Rickelmy 22. Ruan (G) 13. Tairone	31. Alario L. 14. de Pena C. 43. Diego (G) 23. Gabriel 42. Gabriel Barros 7. Hyoran 9. Luiz Adriano 28. Pedro Henrique 47. Prado G. 40. Romulo 44. Vitao

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Santa Cruz-RS is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Internacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Internacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Internacional is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
04.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Novo Hamburgo - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
03.02.24	Internacional RS - Caxias	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Guarany de Bagé - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Internacional RS - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
24.01.24	São Luiz - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Internacional RS - Avenida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTW

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