Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	São Luiz		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	12	4.5	1.3	Watch
	9.2	4.5	1.3	Watch
	11.76	4.85	1.28
	11.06	4.6	1.28	Watch
	11	4.5	1.3
	11.3	4.85	1.27	Watch
	9.2	4.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.79 ↑ (7.11)	4.61 ↑ (3.98)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Luiz
8.5%

Draw
20%

Internacional RS
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

22.8%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

22.2%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Luiz - Internacional RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guilherme Medina (G) 7. Adailson 9. Da Silva 17. Gabriel Davis 10. Gabriel Pereira 6. Marcio Duarte 11. Matheuzinho 2. Muriel 3. Rafael Goiano 14. Ricardo Thalheimer 5. Tete	24. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 10. Alan Patrick 26. Bernabei A. 19. Borre R. 5. Fernando 16. Ronaldo 41. Victor Gabriel 4. Vitao 28. Vitinho 21. Wesley
Substitutes
4. Anderson 13. Caetano 15. Diego 12. Diego Monteiro (G) 21. Guilherme Garre 16. Henrique 22. Julio Cesar 20. Luisinho 18. Maikon Aquino 19. Marlon Martins . Matheus Schwerz	43. Bernardo Jacob 7. Carbonero J. 12. Ivan (G) 27. Kaique Rocha 45. Lucca 23. Nathan 42. Pablo 2. Ramon 3. Rogel A. 13. Valencia E. 11. Wanderson 37. Yago

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Rafael Goiano ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wesley ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
57', Gabriel Pereira ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
62', Ronaldo ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
62', Vitinho ↓, Wanderson ↑,
64', Fernando 🟨,
64', 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Valencia E. ⚽,
69', Adailson ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
69', Gabriel Davis ↓, Diego ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Wanderson ⚽,
78', Da Silva ↓, Marlon Martins ↑,
84', Alan Patrick ↓, Bernardo Jacob ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Luiz won 1.

São Luiz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Internacional in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Internacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Internacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches São Luiz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams São Luiz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.25	Caxias - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	São Luiz - EC Pelotas	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Grêmio - São Luiz	5:0 ✺
29.01.25	Ypiranga - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.25	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Internacional RS - Avenida	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Internacional RS - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.03.24	Internacional RS - São Luiz	3:0
24.01.24	São Luiz - Internacional RS	0:0
28.01.23	Internacional RS - São Luiz	4:0
02.02.22	São Luiz - Internacional RS	0:0
08.03.21	Internacional RS - São Luiz	1:2
29.01.20	São Luiz - Internacional RS	3:4
20.01.19	São Luiz - Internacional RS	0:1

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