Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Always Ready

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3	3.75	1.95
	3.15	3.65	1.9
	3.25	3.8	1.89
	3.26	4.09	1.95
	3	3.6	1.95
	3.3	3.9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.77 ↑ (3.73)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
28.3%

Draw
24.2%

Always Ready
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

24.4%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

16.8%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Always Ready has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Always Ready could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Always Ready Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores (Qualification)).

Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Always Ready is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Always Ready could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Always Ready will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Real Potosí	3:1 ✺
07.12.20	San Jose Earthquakes - Santa Cruz Recife	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.12.20	The Strongest - Santa Cruz Recife	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.11.20	Jacuipense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL
- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.12.20	The Strongest - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
07.12.20	Always Ready - Blooming	8:0 ✺
04.12.20	Aurora - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
01.12.20	Always Ready - Guabirá	2:0 ✺
27.11.20	Always Ready - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
09.02.20	Always Ready - Santa Cruz Recife	6:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.11.26	Universitario de Vinto - Always Ready	✺

Santa Cruz Recife - Always Ready