The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
The Strongest 36.1%
Draw 25.5%
Always Ready 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
23.6%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
22.8%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The Strongest's form might have worsened.
Always Ready has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Always Ready's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The Strongest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Always Ready, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
The Strongest - Always Ready Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Banegas L. (G) 15. Arce S. 5. Jusino A. (C) 3. Pedraza P. 27. Saavedra 6. Welch J. 30. Arrascaita J. 21. Quaglio F. 17. Estacio A. 26. Sotomayor G. 9. Ventura C.
1. Baroja A. (G) 18. Rodriguez C. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 26. Restrepo E. 14. Medina Rodriguez C. D. 11. Uzeda J. 5. Quiroga A. 6. Lima R. 7. Amoroso J. 9. Triverio E. (C) 10. Maraude J.
Substitutes
24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 10. Castro R. 42. Chavarria P. T. 16. Cuellar V. 40. Cueto L. 38. Lazaro J. 14. Lom D. 34. Melgar S. 99. Pachu 36. Ribera R. 22. Saucedo W. 12. Valdivia D. (G)
24. Algaranaz C. 33. Collazo Martinez C. M. 36. Estrada K. 28. Galvis H. 23. Godoy J. 2. Herrera J. 12. Mustafa S. (G) 21. Rambal A. 29. Ramon 19. Torrico D. 4. Villarroel N.
Coaches
Zago A. C.
Godoy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Restrepo E. 🟨,
37', Arce S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Estacio A. ⚽, Sotomayor G. (A),
55', Amoroso J. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Ventura C. ⚽, Sotomayor G. (A),
69', Pedraza P. 🟨,
70', Saavedra ↓, Ribera R. ↑,
70', Sotomayor G. ↓, Saucedo W. ↑,
70', Lima R. ↓, Villarroel N. ↑,
70', Medina Rodriguez C. D. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
75', Jusino A. 🟨,
77', Estacio A. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Triverio E. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
83', Uzeda J. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
84', Ventura C. ↓, Pachu ↑,
84', Welch J. 🟨,
87', Quiroga A. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Always Ready could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:35 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for The Strongest against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Always Ready
23
15
6
2
55:16
39
51
3
The Strongest
23
13
6
4
42:26
16
45
Last Results with these Odds
The Strongest - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.53%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Banegas L. (G) 
Welch J. 
Estacio A. 
Ventura C. 
Baroja A. (G) 
Amoroso J. 
Lom D. 
Pachu 
Godoy P. 
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