Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 2

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.8
	1.83	3.55	3.55
	1.89	3.29	4.2
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.84	3.35	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.22)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	3.89 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
49%

Draw
27.5%

Fluminense Piaui
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense PI is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.23	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Maguary	1:1 ✺
26.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWL
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
04.02.23	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Ríver PI - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.01.23	Fluminense Piaui - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
18.01.23	Parnahyba - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTT

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