Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.8
	3.5	2.95	2
	4	3.1	1.86
	4.56	3.11	1.91
	4.15	3.22	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.86)	3.1 ↑ (3.09)	1.89 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
22.4%

Draw
29.4%

Castro Daire
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

29.1%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

19.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castro Daire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castro Daire will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarenga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.22	Salgueiros 08 - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Gouveia - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:2 ✺
05.02.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Gondomar	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Ferreira de Aves - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Leça	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWLL
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.22	Castro Daire - Ferreira de Aves	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Gondomar - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
16.01.22	Castro Daire - Leça	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.10.21	Castro Daire - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	2:0

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Castro Daire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide