Match Info

Challenge League - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Lucia		Żurrieq

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	3.75
	1.78	3.40	3.80	Watch
	1.78	3.88	3.65	Watch
	1.65	3.55	3.80
	1.77	3.90	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)	3.65 ↑ (3.49)	3.77 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
51.5%

Draw
24.7%

Żurrieq
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Santa Lucia - Żurrieq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Grech S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Azzopardi A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santa Lucia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Santa Lucia has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 1.6:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Lucia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2.7:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
11	Santa Lucia	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.09.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Santa Lucia - Vittoriosa Stars	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Mtarfa - Santa Lucia	7:0 ✺
12.04.26	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLWT
- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
19.09.26	Żurrieq - Victoria Hotspurs	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:0 ✺
01.04.26	Żurrieq - Marsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
12.04.26	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:0
09.12.25	Żurrieq - Santa Lucia	4:0
Maltese Challenge Cup
19.04.25	Żurrieq - Santa Lucia	2:0
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6
04.01.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	2:0

Santa Lucia - Żurrieq