Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6Date: 12 April 2026, SundayLocation: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)
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Santa Lucia |
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Żurrieq |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.62 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
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2.61 |
3.79 |
2.15 |
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1.06 |
9.90 |
22.32 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
3.4 |
2.15 |
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2.69 |
3.66 |
2.19 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.65) |
4.87 ↑
(3.46) |
6.2 ↑
(2.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Lucia
54% | Draw
25.8% | Żurrieq
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Lucia's performance.Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żurrieq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Lucia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żurrieq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Santa Lucia - Żurrieq Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cloth J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Borg A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 3 - 0, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Santa Lucia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
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| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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