Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun) 🌤️ ...


	Mtarfa		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	18	11	1.05	Watch
	25.56	14.35	1.03
	25	10.7	1.04	Watch
	36	12	1.05
	34	12	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	27.71 ↑ (21.94)	12.01 ↑ (11.12)	1.04 (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
3.3%

Draw
7.7%

Santa Lucia
88.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

4.2%

8.2%

87.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mtarfa - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, Cloth J. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 2, Petkovski F. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Petkovski F. ⚽,
41', 0 - 4, Petkovski F. ⚽,

Preview

Mtarfa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Lucia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mtarfa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Lucia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:5).

Including home match between the teams, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Santa Lucia	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.04.26	Marsa - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
01.04.26	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mtarfa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
12.04.26	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Santa Lucia - Marsa	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.09.25	Santa Lucia - Mtarfa	7:0
30.11.24	Mtarfa - Santa Lucia	0:3

Mtarfa - Santa Lucia