Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BRASILIENSE - ROUND 9

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Santa Maria		Real Brasilia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.52
	4.75	3.58	1.61
	5.25	3.86	1.57
	5.4	3.85	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (3.25)	3.76 ↑ (3.06)	1.56 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria
17.6%

Draw
24.1%

Real Brasilia
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.3%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Maria's form might have worsened.

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Brasilia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Brasilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Santa Maria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Brasilia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Real Brasilia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Brasilia to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Maria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
11.03.23	Santa Maria - Brasiliense	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Taguatinga EC - Santa Maria	3:1 ✺
25.02.23	Santa Maria - Capital CF Ltda	2:3 ✺
15.02.23	Gama - Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Santa Maria - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
11.03.23	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
16.02.23	Taguatinga EC - Real Brasilia	1:3 ✺
11.02.23	Real Brasilia - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
30.03.21	Real Brasilia - Santa Maria	1:1

Santa Maria - Real Brasilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide