Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Paranoá		Real Brasilia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	4.1
	1.9	3.4	3.47
	1.9	3.55	3.57	Watch
	1.99	3.58	3.48
	1.75	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.48)	3.53 ↓ (4)	3.74 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paranoá
49.4%

Draw
26%

Real Brasilia
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

15.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paranoá's form might have worsened.

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Brasilia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paranoá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Paranoá - Real Brasilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Paranoá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Brasilia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Paranoá is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paranoá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.02.25	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Ceilandense - Paranoá	3:4 ✺
08.02.25	Paranoá - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Gama - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Paranoá - Samambaia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW
- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
17.02.25	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Gama - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Brasilia - Sobradinho	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Ceilandense - Real Brasilia	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
02.03.24	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	2:1
01.04.23	Real Brasilia - Paranoá	1:1
25.03.23	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	1:1
11.03.23	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	1:3
08.02.20	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	0:4

Paranoá - Real Brasilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide