The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes 18.9%
Draw 38.9%
Palencia CA 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
30.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
29.7%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Marta Tormes's form might have worsened.
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+30.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-21%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia CA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Galvan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Santa Marta Tormes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Palencia CA has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
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