Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Mansillés		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	4.25	2.88	1.9
	4.49	2.93	1.92
	4.47	2.96	1.9
	4.44	2.86	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	2.91 ↑ (2.81)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mansillés
20.7%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético Tordesillas
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

32.5%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

32.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Atlético Mansillés - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Mansillés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tordesillas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tordesillas is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mansillés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.02.26	Numancia B - Atlético Mansillés	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.02.26	Mirandés B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Tordesillas	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Mansillés	2:0
27.10.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Mansillés	0:0

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