Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Úrsula		Los Llanos de Aridane

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.9
	1.89	3.2	3.9
	1.9	3.22	3.99	Watch
	1.86	3.18	4.04
	1.89	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	3.95 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Úrsula
48.7%

Draw
28.3%

Los Llanos de Aridane
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Úrsula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Los Llanos de Aridane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Llanos de Aridane than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Santa Úrsula - Los Llanos de Aridane Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Santa Úrsula is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Los Llanos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Santa Úrsula is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Úrsula won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Úrsula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Úrsula
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Panadería Pulido - Santa Úrsula	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Las Palmas B - Santa Úrsula	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Santa Úrsula - Herbania	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLT
- UD Los Llanos de Aridane
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Buzanada	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Marino - Los Llanos de Aridane	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lanzarote - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	UD San Fernando - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Unión Viera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.11.24	Los Llanos de Aridane - Santa Úrsula	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
17.02.18	Santa Úrsula - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:2

Santa Úrsula - Los Llanos de Aridane