Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Santa Úrsula		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.66
	3.75	3	2
	3.56	3.23	2.01	Watch
	3.78	3.15	2.05
	3.75	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.6)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Úrsula
23.4%

Draw
29.4%

Tamaraceite
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.3%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Úrsula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamaraceite might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamaraceite could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Úrsula won 3.

Santa Úrsula is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tamaraceite is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tamaraceite is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Úrsula won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Úrsula won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Úrsula
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
16.03.25	Las Palmas B - Santa Úrsula	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Santa Úrsula - Herbania	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Úrsula - Buzanada	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Marino - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTTT
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.03.25	Tamaraceite - Buzanada	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marino - Tamaraceite	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Tamaraceite - Arucas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.11.24	Tamaraceite - Santa Úrsula	1:1
17.02.24	Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite	3:1
30.09.23	Tamaraceite - Santa Úrsula	1:3
04.02.23	Tamaraceite - Santa Úrsula	1:0
01.10.22	Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite	1:0
12.01.19	Tamaraceite - Santa Úrsula	3:0
25.08.18	Santa Úrsula - Tamaraceite	1:0

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