Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Los Llanos de Aridane

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	9.4
	1.25	4.95	10.43
	1.32	4.8	9.96
	1.28	4.7	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	4.81 ↑ (4.5)	9.75 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
71.6%

Draw
19%

Los Llanos de Aridane
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

17.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Los Llanos de Aridane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Llanos de Aridane than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

UD San Fernando - Los Llanos de Aridane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Espino J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Farias J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Farias J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match UD San Fernando is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches UD San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.02.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Las Palmas B - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	UD San Fernando - Herbania	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Bartolomé - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Santa Úrsula - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLT
- UD Los Llanos de Aridane
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.02.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Unión Viera	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Estrella - Los Llanos de Aridane	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Arcángel San Miguel	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Ibarra - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.12.17	Los Llanos de Aridane - UD San Fernando	3:2

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